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10.04.2019 05:54 AM
美元下跌,油价上涨,挪威提高了赌注

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美国疲软的经济数据打压了美元,而这恰好发生在所谓的商品货币增长期间,结果可能看起来美元已经严重消退。 新西兰,加拿大和澳元等与商品有关的货币受到油价上涨的支撑。 由于投资者在预期欧洲央行会议期间重新分配其头寸,美元的情况有助于拉升欧元。 美元每天变得越来越难以控制。 美元的强势在上周末达到顶峰,但在美国就业数据显示工资增长放缓之后,该货币无法获得支撑。 即使最近美国政府债券收益率的反弹也没有提供必要的推动力,收益率本身仍然远低于近期的高点。

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由于利比亚的战斗,石油输出国组织的行动以及美国对伊朗和委内瑞拉的制裁导致全球供应量下降,油价飙升至五个月高位。 美中贸易谈判和英国退欧等议题不再具有相关性,也不会对外汇市场产生特别影响,但油价飙升已成为关注的一个原因。 与此同时,挪威出现了一个有趣的情况。 由于油价上涨,前一天上涨0.7%,挪威克朗继续增长并达到每美元8.543。 挪威央行行长奥伊斯坦奥尔森(Oystein Olsen)声明央行将在未来几个月内继续提高利率。 与其他发达国家不同,石油资源丰富的挪威可以承受收紧货币政策的压力,原因是油价上涨以及增长和通胀快于预期。

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Irina Maksimova,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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